封面图片源自网络:
接着前面两期分析,今天介绍期限结构和收益率的方差分解代码:
function var_plot= var_term( Phi_DRAW,OMIGA_ff_DRAW,HH)
%%%% HH means the step length for forecast %%%%%%%%%%
%%%%%% get the forecast variance decomposition %%%%%%%
%%% SIGMA_u=P*P'%%%%
%%% OMIG=inv(P)*U %%%%
%%% Y=MU+SUM_(THITA_i*OMIG_i) %%%%%%%%%%
A_1=Phi_DRAW';
SIGMA_u=OMIGA_ff_DRAW; %%% the convrianc